\begin{table}[!htpb]
\centering\centering
\begin{threeparttable}
\caption{Party elite and voter preferences across candidates (J=0 constituencies)\label{tab:A3}}
\centering
\fontsize{8}{10}\selectfont
\begin{tabular}[t]{lrrrrlrrrll}
\toprule
\multicolumn{1}{c}{ } & \multicolumn{1}{c}{ } & \multicolumn{4}{c}{A. Party elite preferences} & \multicolumn{4}{c}{B. Voter preferences} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{C. Difference} \\
\cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){3-6} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){7-10} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){11-11}
\multicolumn{1}{c}{ } & \multicolumn{1}{c}{N} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{$\mu_{1}$} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{$\mu_{2}$} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{$\beta^{\text{ADC}}$} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{p($\beta^{\text{ADC}}$=0)} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{$\mu_{\text{Winner}}$} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{$\mu_{\text{Loser}}$} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{$\beta^{\text{Voters}}$} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{p($\beta^{\text{Voters}}$=0)} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{p($\beta^{\text{ADC}}$=$\beta^{\text{Voters}}$)} \\
\cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){2-2} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){3-3} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){4-4} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){5-5} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){6-6} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){7-7} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){8-8} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){9-9} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){10-10} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){11-11}
  &  (1)  &  (2)  &  (3)  &  (4)  &  (5)  &  (6)  &  (7)  &  (8)  &  (9)  &  (10) \\
\midrule
\textbf{Selection outcomes} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} ADC ranked first & 218 & 1.00 & 0.00 & 1.00 && 0.49 & 0.51 & -0.03 & {}[0.78] & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} ADC vote share & 218 & 0.50 & 0.18 & 0.31 & {}[0.01]*** & 0.36 & 0.31 & 0.05 & {}[0.21] & {}[0.00]***\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ADC votes & 218 & 121.59 & 41.81 & 79.78 & {}[0.01]*** & 94.56 & 68.83 & 25.72 & {}[0.09]* & {}[0.02]**\\
\textbf{Demographic} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} Male & 218 & 0.96 & 0.93 & 0.04 & {}[0.25] & 0.94 & 0.94 & 0.00 & {}[1.00] & {}[0.40]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Age & 183 & 38.15 & 39.14 & -0.99 & {}[0.63] & 38.32 & 38.95 & -0.63 & {}[0.47] & {}[0.82]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Born in district & 218 & 0.77 & 0.75 & 0.02 & {}[0.75] & 0.83 & 0.70 & 0.13 & {}[0.02]** & {}[0.18]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Local religious majority & 107 & 0.79 & 0.71 & 0.08 & {}[0.57] & 0.79 & 0.71 & 0.08 & {}[0.57] & {}[1.00]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Local ethnic majority & 111 & 0.52 & 0.66 & -0.14 & {}[0.10] & 0.65 & 0.51 & 0.13 & {}[0.03]** & {}[0.04]**\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Traditional authority & 218 & 0.09 & 0.10 & -0.01 & {}[0.81] & 0.11 & 0.08 & 0.03 & {}[0.47] & {}[0.52]\\
\textbf{Education} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} Vocational & 218 & 0.28 & 0.22 & 0.06 & {}[0.35] & 0.28 & 0.21 & 0.07 & {}[0.21] & {}[0.82]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Overseas experience & 218 & 0.23 & 0.13 & 0.10 & {}[0.03]** & 0.21 & 0.15 & 0.06 & {}[0.18] & {}[0.62]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Secondary & 218 & 0.36 & 0.26 & 0.10 & {}[0.09]* & 0.36 & 0.26 & 0.10 & {}[0.09]* & {}[1.00]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} University & 218 & 0.07 & 0.02 & 0.06 & {}[0.06]* & 0.07 & 0.02 & 0.06 & {}[0.06]* & {}[1.00]\\
\textbf{Occupation} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} Farmer & 218 & 0.37 & 0.47 & -0.10 & {}[0.13] & 0.46 & 0.38 & 0.08 & {}[0.22] & {}[0.05]*\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Teacher & 218 & 0.17 & 0.12 & 0.05 & {}[0.34] & 0.14 & 0.15 & -0.01 & {}[0.85] & {}[0.41]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Religious & 218 & 0.02 & 0.05 & -0.03 & {}[0.26] & 0.05 & 0.02 & 0.03 & {}[0.26] & {}[0.10]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Business & 218 & 0.12 & 0.17 & -0.05 & {}[0.30] & 0.13 & 0.16 & -0.03 & {}[0.54] & {}[0.78]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Bureaucrat (junior) & 218 & 0.20 & 0.19 & 0.01 & {}[0.86] & 0.24 & 0.16 & 0.08 & {}[0.12] & {}[0.34]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Bureaucrat (senior) & 218 & 0.20 & 0.12 & 0.08 & {}[0.08]* & 0.21 & 0.11 & 0.10 & {}[0.03]** & {}[0.79]\\
\textbf{National political roles} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} MP & 218 & 0.36 & 0.15 & 0.21 & {}[0.01]*** & 0.24 & 0.27 & -0.03 & {}[0.68] & {}[0.00]***\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Minister & 218 & 0.11 & 0.01 & 0.10 & {}[0.01]*** & 0.06 & 0.06 & 0.01 & {}[0.78] & {}[0.04]**\\
\textbf{Local party roles} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} Local elected leader & 218 & 0.27 & 0.28 & -0.02 & {}[0.78] & 0.24 & 0.31 & -0.07 & {}[0.26] & {}[0.52]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Local appointed leader & 218 & 0.19 & 0.17 & 0.02 & {}[0.72] & 0.16 & 0.21 & -0.06 & {}[0.28] & {}[0.32]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Union/Cooperative leader & 218 & 0.38 & 0.38 & 0.00 & {}[1.00] & 0.41 & 0.34 & 0.07 & {}[0.26] & {}[0.43]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Years of membership & 132 & 10.18 & 10.15 & 0.04 & {}[0.81] & 9.76 & 10.64 & -0.88 & {}[0.92] & {}[0.36]\\
\textbf{Election outcomes} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} Elected & 218 & 0.49 & 0.51 & -0.03 & {}[0.78] & 1.00 & 0.00 & 1.00 & {}[0.01]*** & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} Election vote share & 218 & 0.49 & 0.51 & -0.02 & {}[0.55] & 0.67 & 0.33 & 0.35 & {}[0.01]*** & {}[0.00]***\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Election votes & 218 & 12378.52 & 13398.05 & -1019.52 & {}[0.35] & 17308.86 & 8467.71 & 8841.16 & {}[0.01]*** & {}[0.00]***\\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}
\begin{tablenotes}
\small
\item [] \StarnoteDataADCElection
\end{tablenotes}
\end{threeparttable}
\end{table}
